Event Neutral
Started 2026-11-09

Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO?

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I chose this as the second event because it sits at the opposite end of the spectrum from the first on a lot of dimensions. It is topical, in an active news cycle, with a lot of uncertainty. It is anchored in real, fast moving events, as opposed to potentially unanswerable, deep human questions.

What happened

The question

Will Huang have left his position as chief executive, and will that have been announced, before a set date? He has to have actually left: announcing a future departure does not count. Six dates are open, from Jan 1, 2027 to Jan 1, 2033.6 Rules →

Sources

  1. NBC News. "Nvidia opens investigation after CEO Jensen Huang's affair with alleged Chinese spy." 2026-11-09.
  2. CNBC. "Trump: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang denied knowing Alice Huang was spy." 2026-11-09.
  3. CNBC. "Read Huang's email to his staff and statement from Nvidia's board of directors." 2026-11-08.
  4. House Select Committee on the CCP. "Moolenaar, Mast and Crawford seek briefing from Jensen Huang." 2026-11-05.
  5. NVIDIA. "Statement from NVIDIA Board of Directors." 2026-11-08.
  6. Kalshi. CEOCHANGE contract terms.

Last updated 2026-11-09 · history

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