Started 2026-11-09
Will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO?
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I chose this as the second event because it sits at the opposite end of the spectrum from the first on a lot of dimensions. It is topical, in an active news cycle, with a lot of uncertainty. It is anchored in real, fast moving events, as opposed to potentially unanswerable, deep human questions.
What happened
- Oct 29, 2026. The New York Times reports that U.S. spy agencies had watched Alice Huang, an executive of Megaspeed,2 a Singapore-based company that bought Nvidia's advanced chips.1 Jensen Huang tells Bloomberg his dealings with her were business-related and "not unusual". The two are not related.1
- Nov 5. Three House committee chairs ask him for a closed-door briefing on Nov 18.4
- Nov 6 to 8. The Financial Times reports that the U.S. government believes the two had a romantic relationship.1 The Times reports a memo describing her as an asset of China's Ministry of State Security, recruited to gather information on him.2
- Nov 8. He tells staff by email: "I was unfaithful to my wife."3 Nvidia's board opens an independent investigation and says it "has no reason to believe that either national security or NVIDIA secrets were compromised".5
- Nov 9. President Trump says Huang told him he had no idea she was a spy,2 and that he should stay.1 China's Foreign Ministry calls the spy allegation "unsubstantiated".1
The question
Will Huang have left his position as chief executive, and will that have been announced, before a set date? He has to have actually left: announcing a future departure does not count. Six dates are open, from Jan 1, 2027 to Jan 1, 2033.6 Rules →
Sources
- NBC News. "Nvidia opens investigation after CEO Jensen Huang's affair with alleged Chinese spy." 2026-11-09.
- CNBC. "Trump: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang denied knowing Alice Huang was spy." 2026-11-09.
- CNBC. "Read Huang's email to his staff and statement from Nvidia's board of directors." 2026-11-08.
- House Select Committee on the CCP. "Moolenaar, Mast and Crawford seek briefing from Jensen Huang." 2026-11-05.
- NVIDIA. "Statement from NVIDIA Board of Directors." 2026-11-08.
- Kalshi. CEOCHANGE contract terms.
Last updated 2026-11-09 · history
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